Arezzo vs Ascoli prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Citta di Arezzo
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 76%Books 74% Best odds 1.33 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
29%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
44%
Bookmakers 44%
Us 44%Bookmakers 44%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.8%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.1% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 44% against a market price of 44% (+0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Arezzo vs Ascoli preview
Arezzo host Ascoli in the Serie B on Sunday 1 November at 14:00 at Citta di Arezzo.
Our model gives Arezzo 29%, the draw 27% and Ascoli 44%; the bookmakers' prices said 28%, 28% and 44%.
Arezzo have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 10 conceded).
Ascoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 3 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 76%.
More Serie B predictions
All Serie B matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Cremonese vs Benevento Benevento win 37% @ 2.70
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Modena vs Mantova Modena win 52% @ 1.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Sudtirol vs Cesena Sudtirol win 42% @ 2.35
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 Catanzaro vs Padova Catanzaro win 47% @ 2.10
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella Sampdoria win 41% @ 2.36
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Empoli vs Juve Stabia Juve Stabia win 36% @ 2.65
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsArezzo
LLWDL
- 28 Oct · A v Carrarese 1–2 (xG 0.85–2.67)
- 24 Oct · H v Benevento 0–3 (xG 0.41–2.72)
- 18 Oct · A v Sampdoria 2–1 (xG 0.97–2.70)
- 10 Oct · H v Cremonese 0–0 (xG 1.01–0.21)
- 20 Sep · H v Sudtirol 1–4 (xG 1.73–1.09)
Ascoli
WWDDW
- 27 Oct · H v Sampdoria 2–0 (xG 0.66–0.70)
- 24 Oct · A v Catanzaro 6–1 (xG 3.93–1.86)
- 17 Oct · H v Empoli 1–1 (xG 1.59–0.82)
- 10 Oct · A v Sudtirol 0–0 (xG 0.58–1.02)
- 19 Sep · H v Avellino 3–1 (xG 1.06–0.85)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.