Avellino vs Pisa prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00
Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 75%Books 73% Best odds 1.37 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
33%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
39%
Bookmakers 41%
Us 39%Bookmakers 41%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±3.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 39% against a market price of 41% (-2.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Avellino vs Pisa preview
Avellino host Pisa in the Serie B on Sunday 1 November at 14:00 at Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi.
Our model gives Avellino 33%, the draw 28% and Pisa 39%; the bookmakers' prices said 30%, 28% and 41%.
Avellino have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 7 conceded).
Pisa have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 7 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 75%.
More Serie B predictions
All Serie B matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Cremonese vs Benevento Benevento win 37% @ 2.70
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Modena vs Mantova Modena win 52% @ 1.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Sudtirol vs Cesena Sudtirol win 42% @ 2.35
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 Catanzaro vs Padova Catanzaro win 47% @ 2.10
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella Sampdoria win 41% @ 2.36
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Empoli vs Juve Stabia Juve Stabia win 36% @ 2.65
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAvellino
DLDWL
- 27 Oct · A v Virtus Entella 1–1 (xG 0.88–0.61)
- 24 Oct · H v Padova 0–1 (xG 2.18–0.86)
- 18 Oct · A v Cesena 1–1 (xG 1.19–2.17)
- 9 Oct · H v Sampdoria 4–1 (xG 2.27–0.52)
- 19 Sep · A v Ascoli 1–3 (xG 0.85–1.06)
Pisa
DDWWD
- 28 Oct · H v Palermo 3–3 (xG 2.50–1.32)
- 25 Oct · A v Hellas Verona 1–1 (xG 1.55–0.69)
- 17 Oct · H v Cremonese 3–1 (xG 2.39–0.51)
- 10 Oct · A v Vicenza Virtus 3–0 (xG 2.74–0.61)
- 20 Sep · A v Mantova 2–2 (xG 2.18–1.98)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.