Hellas Verona vs Carrarese prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 16:15
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 79%Books 80% Best odds 1.24 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 61%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 55%Bookmakers 61%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±4.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 61% (-5.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Hellas Verona vs Carrarese preview
Hellas Verona host Carrarese in the Serie B on Sunday 1 November at 16:15.
Our model gives Hellas Verona 55%, the draw 24% and Carrarese 21%; the bookmakers' prices said 61%, 22% and 17%.
Hellas Verona have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 7 conceded).
Carrarese have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 79%.
More Serie B predictions
All Serie B matches- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Cremonese vs Benevento Benevento win 37% @ 2.70
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Modena vs Mantova Modena win 52% @ 1.75
- Sat 31 Oct, 14:00 Sudtirol vs Cesena Sudtirol win 42% @ 2.35
- Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 Catanzaro vs Padova Catanzaro win 47% @ 2.10
- Sat 31 Oct, 18:30 Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella Sampdoria win 41% @ 2.36
- Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Empoli vs Juve Stabia Juve Stabia win 36% @ 2.65
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsHellas Verona
WDDLW
- 28 Oct · A v Juve Stabia 1–0 (xG 1.35–0.85)
- 25 Oct · H v Pisa 1–1 (xG 0.69–1.55)
- 16 Oct · H v Catanzaro 2–2 (xG 1.97–1.24)
- 11 Oct · A v Modena 2–3 (xG 2.04–2.32)
- 20 Sep · H v Vicenza Virtus 2–1 (xG 0.97–0.90)
Carrarese
WLWWL
- 28 Oct · H v Arezzo 2–1 (xG 2.67–0.85)
- 25 Oct · A v Palermo 1–2 (xG 1.32–1.93)
- 17 Oct · H v Modena 2–1 (xG 1.78–1.03)
- 11 Oct · A v Padova 2–0 (xG 1.63–0.72)
- 19 Sep · H v Benevento 0–1 (xG 0.83–1.25)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.