Universidad Catolica vs Aucas prediction

16:00

Sun 1 Nov, 16:00

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals

Us 75%Books 74% Best odds 1.32 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

52%

Bookmakers 52%

Draw

26%

Bookmakers 27%

Away win

22%

Bookmakers 21%

Us 52%Bookmakers 52% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.8%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.3% alone is not enough).

Home win: 52% against a market price of 52% (+0.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Universidad Catolica vs Aucas preview

Universidad Catolica host Aucas in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 November at 16:00.

Our model gives Universidad Catolica 52%, the draw 26% and Aucas 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 52%, 27% and 21%.

Universidad Catolica have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 5 conceded).

Aucas have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 9 conceded).

In their last 6 meetings Universidad Catolica won 2, Aucas won 2 and 2 were drawn, with 3.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 75%.

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