Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 21:00
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 74%Books 74% Best odds 1.29 (Betfair)
Match result: no bet
Home win
47%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 47%Bookmakers 49%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 49% (-1.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Guayaquil City FC vs Libertad preview
Guayaquil City FC host Libertad in the Liga Pro on Sunday 1 November at 21:00.
Our model gives Guayaquil City FC 47%, the draw 28% and Libertad 25%; the bookmakers' prices said 49%, 28% and 24%.
Guayaquil City FC have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 8 conceded).
Libertad have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (12 scored, 8 conceded).
In their last 3 meetings Guayaquil City FC won 1, Libertad won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.
More Liga Pro predictions
All Liga Pro matches- Sat 31 Oct, 16:30 Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca Delfin SC win 41% @ 2.33
- Sat 31 Oct, 19:00 Emelec vs Leones del Norte Emelec win 45% @ 2.25
- Sat 31 Oct, 21:30 Macara vs Barcelona SC Macara win 51% @ 1.97
- Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Universidad Catolica vs Aucas Universidad Catolica win 52% @ 1.85
- Sun 1 Nov, 18:30 Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito Independiente del Valle win 54% @ 1.91
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGuayaquil City FC
WLWDW
- 25 Oct · A v Emelec 1–0 (xG 1.30–2.62)
- 17 Oct · A v Libertad 0–4 (xG 0.78–1.97)
- 10 Oct · H v Emelec 3–2 (xG 2.42–1.52)
- 19 Sep · H v Leones del Norte 1–1
- 12 Sep · H v Mushuc Runa SC 3–1
Libertad
LWWWL
- 25 Oct · A v Leones del Norte 1–4 (xG 2.04–2.34)
- 17 Oct · H v Guayaquil City FC 4–0 (xG 1.97–0.78)
- 9 Oct · H v Leones del Norte 3–0 (xG 2.12–1.03)
- 20 Sep · A v Emelec 2–1
- 13 Sep · H v Independiente del Valle 2–3
Head-to-head
Guayaquil City FC 1 · draws 1 · Libertad 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 17 Oct 2026 · Libertad 4–0 Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro)
- 15 Aug 2026 · Guayaquil City FC 2–2 Libertad (Liga Pro)
- 21 Apr 2026 · Libertad 0–1 Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro)