MVV vs VVV Venlo prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:30
De Geusselt
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 85% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
31%
Bookmakers 29%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 45%Bookmakers 47%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 45% against a market price of 47% (-1.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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MVV vs VVV Venlo preview
MVV host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie on Saturday 31 October at 15:30 at De Geusselt.
Our model gives MVV 31%, the draw 24% and VVV Venlo 45%; the bookmakers' prices said 29%, 24% and 47%.
MVV have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 12 conceded).
VVV Venlo have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (15 scored, 9 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings MVV won 2, VVV Venlo won 1 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More Eerste Divisie predictions
All Eerste Divisie matches- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Emmen vs Den Bosch Emmen win 54% @ 1.83
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Roda vs Jong AZ Roda win 55% @ 1.70
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 FC Volendam vs De Graafschap FC Volendam win 50% @ 2.02
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Waalwijk vs Almere City FC Waalwijk win 44% @ 2.19
- Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Helmond Sport vs FC Eindhoven Helmond Sport win 45% @ 2.14
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMVV
DLLLW
- 23 Oct · A v Den Bosch 2–2 (xG 0.89–1.10)
- 18 Oct · H v Heracles 1–5 (xG 0.58–2.88)
- 9 Oct · A v NAC Breda 0–1 (xG 0.28–0.72)
- 3 Oct · A v FC OSS 1–4
- 26 Sep · H v Helmond Sport 2–0
VVV Venlo
WDWWL
- 24 Oct · A v Dordrecht 4–2 (xG 1.04–0.82)
- 16 Oct · H v Jong AZ 4–4 (xG 2.41–1.44)
- 9 Oct · A v Jong Ajax 3–0 (xG 2.39–1.40)
- 4 Oct · H v Roda 2–0
- 26 Sep · A v FC Volendam 2–3 (xG 2.32–1.03)
Head-to-head
MVV 2 · draws 1 · VVV Venlo 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 13 Mar 2026 · MVV 2–1 VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie)
- 21 Sep 2025 · VVV Venlo 1–0 MVV (Eerste Divisie)
- 9 Feb 2025 · VVV Venlo 0–0 MVV (Eerste Divisie)
- 13 Oct 2024 · MVV 2–0 VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie)