Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #57: pick published

Hash verified

Rudes v HNK Rijeka: Away win 67% @ 1.35 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-16T00:00:17.875966+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 35f8a23661437e80520bc85a01f0d14bfca7bea68db19b1d10f14918ddc1bf8b
Stored hash: 21f101d8349a2d29b5fa18619d631d940dffc0c0fcab27caee1e5bfd65437846
Recomputed: 21f101d8349a2d29b5fa18619d631d940dffc0c0fcab27caee1e5bfd65437846

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "HNK Rijeka",
  "bookmakers": 10,
  "edge": -0.0268,
  "explanation": "Away win: 67% against a market price of 70% (-2.7%).\nExpected goals Rudes 1.44 – 1.74 HNK Rijeka.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 43% (uncertainty ±11.9%), so it carries 12% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nRudes's defence (1.35× the league rate against) adds 1.4 pts to away win.\nHome advantage in this league (+28% goals at home) takes 0.8 pts from away win.\nHNK Rijeka's defence (0.86× the league rate against) adds 0.5 pts to away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-2.7%).",
  "fixture": 1548545,
  "home": "Rudes",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-16T16:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "HNL",
  "league_api_id": 210,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.7008,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-210-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "1.35",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.674,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-2.7%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#56 #58

Latest entries

248 in total