Check any pick we ever made

{
  "away": "Kawasaki Frontale",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0125,
  "explanation": "Away win: 39% against a market price of 40% (-1.2%).\nExpected goals Cerezo Osaka 1.59 – 1.48 Kawasaki Frontale.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 35% (uncertainty ±7.3%), so it carries 25% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nKawasaki Frontale's attack (1.13× the league rate) adds 1.1 pts to away win.\nHome advantage in this league (+16% goals at home) takes 1.1 pts from away win.\nKawasaki Frontale's defence (1.08× the league rate against) takes 0.6 pts from away win.\nCerezo Osaka's attack (1.06× the league rate) takes 0.5 pts from away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.2%).\nWhat changed since v1:\nTriggered by Referee assigned: Masuya Ueda; Confirmed lineups released: Cerezo Osaka 3-4-2-1, Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1.\nOur probabilities: Home win 36% → 36% (-0.8 pts); Draw 26% → 25% (-0.6 pts); Away win 38% → 39% (+1.3 pts).",
  "fixture": 1556091,
  "home": "Cerezo Osaka",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T06:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "J1 League",
  "league_api_id": 98,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4032,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-98-v3)",
  "odds_taken": "2.35",
  "prediction_version": 2,
  "probability": 0.3908,
  "season": 2027,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.2%)",
  "trigger": "event: referee, lineups",
  "type": "pick",
  "what_changed": "What changed since v1:\nTriggered by Referee assigned: Masuya Ueda; Confirmed lineups released: Cerezo Osaka 3-4-2-1, Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1.\nOur probabilities: Home win 36% → 36% (-0.8 pts); Draw 26% → 25% (-0.6 pts); Away win 38% → 39% (+1.3 pts)."
}