Bolton vs Bristol City prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Toughsheet Community Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 77%Books 78% Best odds 1.28 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 34%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
36%
Bookmakers 40%
Us 38%Bookmakers 34%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±4.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +4.2% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 34% (+4.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Bolton vs Bristol City preview
Bolton host Bristol City in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Our model gives Bolton 38%, the draw 26% and Bristol City 36%; the bookmakers' prices said 34%, 27% and 40%.
Bolton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (9 scored, 11 conceded).
Bristol City have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (2 scored, 3 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 77%.
More Championship predictions
All Championship matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Norwich vs Watford Norwich win 60% @ 1.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Stoke City vs Preston Stoke City win 52% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wolves vs Cardiff Wolves win 55% @ 1.66
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Southampton vs QPR Southampton win 55% @ 1.78
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBolton
LDWLW
- 23 Oct · H v Middlesbrough 1–5 (xG 0.94–4.19)
- 17 Oct · A v Southampton 0–0 (xG 1.24–1.91)
- 13 Oct · A v Wolves 3–1 (xG 1.62–2.23)
- 10 Oct · H v Stoke City 1–2 (xG 3.13–0.74)
- 20 Sep · A v Norwich 4–3 (xG 1.10–0.69)
Bristol City
DLLDW
- 24 Oct · A v Stoke City 0–0 (xG 0.79–0.71)
- 17 Oct · H v Sheffield Utd 0–1 (xG 0.58–1.23)
- 13 Oct · H v Blackburn 0–1 (xG 1.95–0.15)
- 10 Oct · A v Charlton 1–1 (xG 1.47–1.78)
- 18 Sep · H v Watford 1–0 (xG 1.56–0.52)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.