Norwich vs Watford prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30
Carrow Road
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 82%Books 83% Best odds 1.19 (Betano)
Most likely: Home win
Home win
60%
Bookmakers 62%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 17%
Us 60%Bookmakers 62%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.
- Home win: 60% against a market price of 62% (-1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Norwich vs Watford preview
Norwich host Watford in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 12:30 at Carrow Road.
Our model gives Norwich 60%, the draw 22% and Watford 18%; the bookmakers' prices said 62%, 21% and 17%.
Norwich have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (7 scored, 9 conceded).
Watford have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats from their last 5 (3 scored, 11 conceded).
In their last 5 meetings Norwich won 3, Watford won 2 and 0 were drawn, with 3.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 82%.
More Championship predictions
All Championship matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Stoke City vs Preston Stoke City win 52% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wolves vs Cardiff Wolves win 55% @ 1.66
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Southampton vs QPR Southampton win 55% @ 1.78
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Burnley vs Portsmouth Burnley win 44% @ 2.12
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNorwich
WLLLL
- 24 Oct · A v Charlton 3–1 (xG 1.75–0.87)
- 17 Oct · H v Portsmouth 0–1 (xG 0.37–1.25)
- 14 Oct · H v Southampton 0–1 (xG 1.26–2.16)
- 10 Oct · A v Swansea 1–2 (xG 0.68–2.36)
- 20 Sep · H v Bolton 3–4 (xG 0.69–1.10)
Watford
LWLLL
- 24 Oct · A v Wolves 0–1 (xG 0.15–1.88)
- 17 Oct · H v Charlton 2–0 (xG 2.87–1.31)
- 13 Oct · A v Cardiff 1–5 (xG 1.46–3.67)
- 10 Oct · H v Burnley 0–4 (xG 0.64–1.94)
- 18 Sep · A v Bristol City 0–1 (xG 0.52–1.56)
Head-to-head
Norwich 3 · draws 0 · Watford 2, 3.0 goals a game
- 29 Dec 2025 · Norwich 0–1 Watford (Championship)
- 6 Dec 2025 · Watford 3–2 Norwich (Championship)
- 12 Aug 2025 · Watford 1–2 Norwich (League Cup)
- 1 Feb 2025 · Watford 0–1 Norwich (Championship)
- 21 Sep 2024 · Norwich 4–1 Watford (Championship)