Southampton vs QPR prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
St. Mary's Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 84% Best odds 1.20 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 55%Bookmakers 55%
Fair price
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 55% (-0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Southampton vs QPR preview
Southampton host QPR in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at St. Mary's Stadium.
Our model gives Southampton 55%, the draw 24% and QPR 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 23% and 22%.
Southampton have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (6 scored, 4 conceded).
QPR have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 7 conceded).
In their last 2 meetings Southampton won 2, QPR won 0 and 0 were drawn, with 4.0 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 83%.
More Championship predictions
All Championship matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Norwich vs Watford Norwich win 60% @ 1.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Stoke City vs Preston Stoke City win 52% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wolves vs Cardiff Wolves win 55% @ 1.66
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Burnley vs Portsmouth Burnley win 44% @ 2.12
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSouthampton
WDWWL
- 24 Oct · A v West Ham 3–2 (xG 1.61–1.60)
- 17 Oct · H v Bolton 0–0 (xG 1.91–1.24)
- 14 Oct · A v Norwich 1–0 (xG 2.16–1.26)
- 11 Oct · H v Portsmouth 1–0 (xG 1.35–0.81)
- 19 Sep · A v Wrexham 1–2 (xG 2.08–0.54)
QPR
WLWDD
- 24 Oct · H v Swansea 5–0 (xG 3.30–0.27)
- 17 Oct · A v Birmingham 0–3 (xG 1.17–1.34)
- 14 Oct · H v Derby 4–1 (xG 2.05–1.02)
- 9 Oct · A v West Ham 1–1 (xG 1.27–1.44)
- 19 Sep · H v Preston 2–2 (xG 2.54–1.50)
Head-to-head
Southampton 2 · draws 0 · QPR 0, 4.0 goals a game
- 24 Feb 2026 · Southampton 5–0 QPR (Championship)
- 5 Nov 2025 · QPR 1–2 Southampton (Championship)