Wolves vs Cardiff prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Molineux Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 84%Books 86% Best odds 1.16 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
55%
Bookmakers 58%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 22%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 55%Bookmakers 58%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±3.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 58% (-3.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Wolves vs Cardiff preview
Wolves host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Molineux Stadium.
Our model gives Wolves 55%, the draw 23% and Cardiff 23%; the bookmakers' prices said 58%, 22% and 20%.
Wolves have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 6 conceded).
Cardiff have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (12 scored, 6 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 84%.
More Championship predictions
All Championship matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Norwich vs Watford Norwich win 60% @ 1.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Stoke City vs Preston Stoke City win 52% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Southampton vs QPR Southampton win 55% @ 1.78
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Burnley vs Portsmouth Burnley win 44% @ 2.12
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWolves
WDWLL
- 24 Oct · H v Watford 1–0 (xG 1.88–0.15)
- 20 Oct · H v Portsmouth 1–1 (xG 1.08–0.71)
- 16 Oct · A v Burnley 2–1 (xG 1.85–1.04)
- 13 Oct · H v Bolton 1–3 (xG 2.23–1.62)
- 10 Oct · A v Middlesbrough 0–1 (xG 0.68–0.90)
Cardiff
WDWLW
- 24 Oct · H v Birmingham 1–0 (xG 2.40–0.91)
- 17 Oct · A v Middlesbrough 2–2 (xG 0.91–2.78)
- 13 Oct · H v Watford 5–1 (xG 3.67–1.46)
- 10 Oct · A v Blackburn 1–2 (xG 1.06–1.79)
- 19 Sep · H v Charlton 3–1 (xG 2.60–1.26)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.