Stoke City vs Preston prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30
Bet365 Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 74%Books 75% Best odds 1.30 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
52%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 52%Bookmakers 55%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 55% (-3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Stoke City vs Preston preview
Stoke City host Preston in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 12:30 at Bet365 Stadium.
Our model gives Stoke City 52%, the draw 26% and Preston 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 55%, 25% and 20%.
Stoke City have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (7 scored, 5 conceded).
Preston have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 12 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Stoke City won 0, Preston won 1 and 3 were drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.
More Championship predictions
All Championship matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Norwich vs Watford Norwich win 60% @ 1.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wolves vs Cardiff Wolves win 55% @ 1.66
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Southampton vs QPR Southampton win 55% @ 1.78
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Burnley vs Portsmouth Burnley win 44% @ 2.12
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsStoke City
DWLWW
- 24 Oct · H v Bristol City 0–0 (xG 0.71–0.79)
- 17 Oct · A v Derby 1–0 (xG 0.62–1.07)
- 13 Oct · H v Middlesbrough 2–3 (xG 0.65–2.57)
- 10 Oct · A v Bolton 2–1 (xG 0.74–3.13)
- 19 Sep · H v Sheffield Utd 2–1 (xG 0.65–0.36)
Preston
DLLLD
- 24 Oct · H v West Brom 1–1 (xG 1.83–2.09)
- 17 Oct · A v Wrexham 1–4 (xG 0.79–1.97)
- 13 Oct · A v Birmingham 0–4 (xG 0.49–2.24)
- 10 Oct · H v Millwall 0–1 (xG 0.67–1.15)
- 19 Sep · A v QPR 2–2 (xG 1.50–2.54)
Head-to-head
Stoke City 0 · draws 3 · Preston 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 20 Mar 2026 · Preston 3–1 Stoke City (Championship)
- 26 Dec 2025 · Stoke City 0–0 Preston (Championship)
- 5 Apr 2025 · Preston 1–1 Stoke City (Championship)
- 26 Nov 2024 · Stoke City 0–0 Preston (Championship)