Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction

15:00

Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Riverside Stadium

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 86%Books 87% Best odds 1.15 (Betano)

Most likely: Home win

Home win

74%

Bookmakers 76%

Draw

16%

Bookmakers 15%

Away win

10%

Bookmakers 9%

Us 74%Bookmakers 76% Fair price Uncertainty ±1.7%

Most likely home win, and the bookmakers agree: no edge on the price, but a likely leg for a slip.

Home win: 74% against a market price of 76% (-1.7%).

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Middlesbrough vs Charlton preview

Middlesbrough host Charlton in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Riverside Stadium.

Our model gives Middlesbrough 74%, the draw 16% and Charlton 10%; the bookmakers' prices said 76%, 15% and 9%.

Middlesbrough have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (13 scored, 7 conceded).

Charlton have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 11 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Middlesbrough won 1, Charlton won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.0 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 86%.

More Championship predictions

All Championship matches

Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Norwich vs Watford Norwich win 60% @ 1.60
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Stoke City vs Preston Stoke City win 52% @ 1.76
Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wolves vs Cardiff Wolves win 55% @ 1.66
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Southampton vs QPR Southampton win 55% @ 1.78

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Middlesbrough

WDWWD

23 Oct · A v Bolton 5–1 (xG 4.19–0.94)
17 Oct · H v Cardiff 2–2 (xG 2.78–0.91)
13 Oct · A v Stoke City 3–2 (xG 2.57–0.65)
10 Oct · H v Wolves 1–0 (xG 0.90–0.68)
19 Sep · A v Birmingham 2–2 (xG 2.14–1.23)

Charlton

LLDDL

24 Oct · H v Norwich 1–3 (xG 0.87–1.75)
17 Oct · A v Watford 0–2 (xG 1.31–2.87)
13 Oct · A v Burnley 2–2 (xG 2.13–1.08)
10 Oct · H v Bristol City 1–1 (xG 1.78–1.47)
19 Sep · A v Cardiff 1–3 (xG 1.26–2.60)

Head-to-head

Middlesbrough 1 · draws 0 · Charlton 1, 2.0 goals a game

11 Mar 2026 · Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton (Championship)
9 Dec 2025 · Charlton 1–2 Middlesbrough (Championship)