Swansea vs Blackburn prediction
Sat 31 Oct, 15:00
Swansea.com Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 74%Books 74% Best odds 1.34 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
52%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
22%
Bookmakers 20%
Us 52%Bookmakers 54%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 52% against a market price of 54% (-2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Swansea vs Blackburn preview
Swansea host Blackburn in the Championship on Saturday 31 October at 15:00 at Swansea.com Stadium.
Our model gives Swansea 52%, the draw 26% and Blackburn 22%; the bookmakers' prices said 54%, 25% and 20%.
Swansea have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded).
Blackburn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from their last 5 (9 scored, 6 conceded).
In their last 4 meetings Swansea won 3, Blackburn won 1 and 0 were drawn, with 2.8 goals a game.
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 74%.
More Championship predictions
All Championship matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham Sheffield Utd win 42% @ 2.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Norwich vs Watford Norwich win 60% @ 1.60
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Stoke City vs Preston Stoke City win 52% @ 1.76
- Sat 31 Oct, 12:30 Lincoln vs Birmingham Birmingham win 40% @ 2.15
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Wolves vs Cardiff Wolves win 55% @ 1.66
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 Southampton vs QPR Southampton win 55% @ 1.78
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSwansea
LLWWW
- 24 Oct · A v QPR 0–5 (xG 0.27–3.30)
- 17 Oct · H v West Ham 0–1 (xG 1.08–1.21)
- 13 Oct · A v Millwall 1–0 (xG 1.82–1.05)
- 10 Oct · H v Norwich 2–1 (xG 2.36–0.68)
- 19 Sep · A v Lincoln 2–1 (xG 0.92–2.11)
Blackburn
WLWWD
- 24 Oct · H v Wrexham 2–0 (xG 1.61–1.74)
- 17 Oct · A v West Brom 2–3 (xG 0.84–3.72)
- 13 Oct · A v Bristol City 1–0 (xG 0.15–1.95)
- 10 Oct · H v Cardiff 2–1 (xG 1.79–1.06)
- 19 Sep · A v Portsmouth 2–2 (xG 0.59–1.60)
Head-to-head
Swansea 3 · draws 0 · Blackburn 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 20 Jan 2026 · Swansea 3–1 Blackburn (Championship)
- 30 Sep 2025 · Blackburn 1–2 Swansea (Championship)
- 22 Feb 2025 · Swansea 3–0 Blackburn (Championship)
- 19 Oct 2024 · Blackburn 1–0 Swansea (Championship)