Elche vs Valencia prediction

17:30

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge

Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goals

Us 75%Books 74% Best odds 1.32 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win

44%

Bookmakers 41%

Draw

27%

Bookmakers 28%

Away win

29%

Bookmakers 31%

Us 44%Bookmakers 41% Fair price Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.5% alone is not enough).

Home win: 44% against a market price of 41% (+3.5%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

Join free to open them

Already a member? Sign in

Elche vs Valencia preview

Elche host Valencia in the La Liga on Sunday 1 November at 17:30 at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.

Our model gives Elche 44%, the draw 27% and Valencia 29%; the bookmakers' prices said 41%, 28% and 31%.

Elche have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from their last 5 (8 scored, 4 conceded).

Valencia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 7 conceded).

In their last 2 meetings Elche won 1, Valencia won 0 and 1 was drawn, with 1.5 goals a game.

Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 75%.

More La Liga predictions

All La Liga matches

Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Villarreal vs Espanyol Villarreal win 69% @ 1.46
Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Levante vs Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid win 57% @ 1.61
Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Rayo Vallecano win 41% @ 2.45
Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Real Betis vs Malaga Real Betis win 70% @ 1.38
Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Barcelona vs Alaves Barcelona win 88% @ 1.12
Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Getafe vs Sevilla Sevilla win 35% @ 2.60

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Elche

WDDWL

24 Oct · A v Rayo Vallecano 3–0 (xG 2.63–1.61)
17 Oct · A v Villarreal 0–0 (xG 0.31–2.23)
11 Oct · H v Celta Vigo 0–0 (xG 0.78–0.47)
18 Sep · A v Espanyol 3–1 (xG 1.61–1.05)
15 Sep · H v Real Madrid 2–3 (xG 0.78–3.61)

Valencia

LDDLW

24 Oct · H v Villarreal 1–2 (xG 1.17–1.52)
17 Oct · H v Athletic Club 0–0 (xG 1.49–0.65)
11 Oct · A v Racing Santander 2–2 (xG 1.70–1.31)
20 Sep · H v Real Sociedad 2–3 (xG 1.55–2.65)
15 Sep · A v Alaves 1–0 (xG 0.65–1.05)

Head-to-head

Elche 1 · draws 1 · Valencia 0, 1.5 goals a game

11 Apr 2026 · Elche 1–0 Valencia (La Liga)
10 Jan 2026 · Valencia 1–1 Elche (La Liga)