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Getafe vs Sevilla prediction

13:00
Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Coliseum
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No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.

Likely, at a fair price

We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goals
    Us 85%Books 85% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)

Match result: no bet

Home win
34%
Bookmakers 30%
Draw
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 38%
Us 35%Bookmakers 38% Odds too short Uncertainty ±2.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 35% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 35% against a market price of 38% (-3.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick

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Getafe vs Sevilla preview

Getafe host Sevilla in the La Liga on Sunday 1 November at 13:00 at Coliseum.

Our model gives Getafe 34%, the draw 31% and Sevilla 35%; the bookmakers' prices said 30%, 32% and 38%.

Getafe have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 5 (4 scored, 14 conceded).

Sevilla have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5 (8 scored, 10 conceded).

In their last 4 meetings Getafe won 1, Sevilla won 2 and 1 was drawn, with 1.2 goals a game.

Another call we like: Under 3.5 goals (Goals O/U 3.5) at 85%.

More La Liga predictions

All La Liga matches

Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Getafe

LLDDL
  • 25 Oct · A v Athletic Club 0–4 (xG 0.42–0.77)
  • 22 Oct · H v FC Lugano 2–5 (xG 2.48–1.94)
  • 19 Oct · H v Rayo Vallecano 1–1 (xG 0.67–2.15)
  • 15 Oct · A v Universitatea Craiova 1–1 (xG 1.45–0.57)
  • 10 Oct · A v Barcelona 0–3 (xG 0.14–1.93)

Sevilla

WLDLW
  • 26 Oct · H v Osasuna 2–0 (xG 1.18–0.79)
  • 18 Oct · A v Real Madrid 1–4 (xG 0.81–2.32)
  • 12 Oct · A v Levante 3–3 (xG 2.55–2.00)
  • 19 Sep · H v Barcelona 1–3 (xG 0.40–3.47)
  • 16 Sep · A v Deportivo La Coruna 1–0 (xG 0.73–0.14)

Head-to-head

Getafe 1 · draws 1 · Sevilla 2, 1.3 goals a game

  • 22 Feb 2026 · Getafe 0–1 Sevilla (La Liga)
  • 25 Aug 2025 · Sevilla 1–2 Getafe (La Liga)
  • 1 Feb 2025 · Getafe 0–0 Sevilla (La Liga)
  • 14 Sep 2024 · Sevilla 1–0 Getafe (La Liga)