Racing Santander vs Real Madrid prediction
Sun 1 Nov, 15:15
Estadio El Sardinero
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 92%Books 93% Best odds 1.07 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
10%
Bookmakers 8%
Draw
13%
Bookmakers 12%
Away win
77%
Bookmakers 80%
Us 77%Bookmakers 80%
Odds too short
Uncertainty ±3.2%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-3.6% expected per unit).
- Away win: 77% against a market price of 80% (-3.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Racing Santander vs Real Madrid preview
Racing Santander host Real Madrid in the La Liga on Sunday 1 November at 15:15 at Estadio El Sardinero.
Our model gives Racing Santander 10%, the draw 13% and Real Madrid 77%; the bookmakers' prices said 8%, 12% and 80%.
Racing Santander have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5 (6 scored, 17 conceded).
Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from their last 5 (15 scored, 6 conceded).
Another call we like: Over 1.5 goals (Goals O/U 1.5) at 92%.
More La Liga predictions
All La Liga matches- Fri 30 Oct, 20:00 Villarreal vs Espanyol Villarreal win 69% @ 1.46
- Sat 31 Oct, 13:00 Levante vs Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid win 57% @ 1.61
- Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Rayo Vallecano win 41% @ 2.45
- Sat 31 Oct, 17:30 Real Betis vs Malaga Real Betis win 70% @ 1.38
- Sat 31 Oct, 20:00 Barcelona vs Alaves Barcelona win 88% @ 1.12
- Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 Getafe vs Sevilla Sevilla win 35% @ 2.60
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRacing Santander
WLDLL
- 24 Oct · H v Espanyol 2–1 (xG 2.50–0.62)
- 18 Oct · A v Osasuna 0–2 (xG 0.31–3.42)
- 11 Oct · H v Valencia 2–2 (xG 1.31–1.70)
- 19 Sep · A v Celta Vigo 0–5 (xG 0.75–2.14)
- 16 Sep · A v Barcelona 2–7 (xG 1.98–6.74)
Real Madrid
WWWWW
- 25 Oct · A v Barcelona 2–1 (xG 2.01–1.27)
- 21 Oct · H v RB Leipzig 4–1 (xG 3.13–1.51)
- 18 Oct · H v Sevilla 4–1 (xG 2.32–0.81)
- 14 Oct · A v AS Roma 4–3 (xG 1.49–1.49)
- 10 Oct · H v Villarreal 1–0 (xG 1.43–0.59)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.