Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #286: pick published

Hash verified

Milton Keynes Dons v Luton: Away win 45% @ 2.02 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-17T00:01:09.140147+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: 98d30b258b9f1886d4f51f31091b071db1b1c9ca15c324b07fdaee1bd760252e
Stored hash: 16aa93ebc5e9240e6537c93869e3661a1af0949760652e3f59600262a853ec5f
Recomputed: 16aa93ebc5e9240e6537c93869e3661a1af0949760652e3f59600262a853ec5f

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Luton",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0182,
  "explanation": "Away win: 45% against a market price of 47% (-1.8%).\nExpected goals Milton Keynes Dons 1.41 – 1.48 Luton.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 40% (uncertainty ±8.0%), so it carries 27% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+21% goals at home) takes 1.4 pts from away win.\nLuton's attack (1.14× the league rate) adds 1.3 pts to away win.\nMilton Keynes Dons's defence (1.04× the league rate against) adds 0.5 pts to away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-1.8%).",
  "fixture": 1564360,
  "home": "Milton Keynes Dons",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T11:30:00+00:00",
  "league": "League One",
  "league_api_id": 41,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.467,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-41-v2)",
  "odds_taken": "2.02",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.4489,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-1.8%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#285 #287

Latest entries

1416 in total