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{
  "away": "Al-Wasl FC",
  "bookmakers": 9,
  "edge": 0.0278,
  "explanation": "Away win 68% against a market price of 65% (+2.8%).\nExpected goals Baniyas SC 1.04 – 2.71 Al-Wasl FC, from 5 and 5 matches in this competition over the last 12 months (recent ones count more). Our model carries 39% of the weight; the market price carries the rest.\nAl-Wasl FC's attack (rating 1.43) adds 5.9 pts to the away win.\nBaniyas SC's attack (rating 0.76, league average 1.00) adds 2.6 pts to the away win.\nAl-Wasl FC's defence (goals-against rating 0.85) adds 1.4 pts to the away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+2.8%).",
  "fixture": 1639008,
  "home": "Baniyas SC",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-16T15:45:00+00:00",
  "league": "Pro League",
  "league_api_id": 301,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.654,
  "model": "market-prior(shin)+poisson v0.2",
  "odds_taken": "1.44",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.6819,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+2.8%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}