Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #819: pick published

Hash verified

Sandefjord v Lillestrom: Home win 38% @ 2.60 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-18T01:17:22.634314+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: aadcfd507fccb7cf4d59093da9b94548218d2e1ae696ccb67c93ca45d92e9a76
Stored hash: 88470f53500b562e282fabf90e3e174e261a72f739e641316e5d200df09ead32
Recomputed: 88470f53500b562e282fabf90e3e174e261a72f739e641316e5d200df09ead32

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Lillestrom",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": 0.0243,
  "explanation": "Home win: 38% against a market price of 36% (+2.4%).\nExpected goals Sandefjord 1.62 – 1.27 Lillestrom.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 45% (uncertainty ±8.0%), so it carries 26% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+30% goals at home) adds 2.6 pts to home win.\nSandefjord's defence (0.89× the league rate against) adds 0.8 pts to home win.\nRest days (Sandefjord 8, Lillestrom 3) takes 0.8 pts from home win.\nLillestrom's attack (0.92× the league rate) adds 0.6 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (+2.4%).",
  "fixture": 1494783,
  "home": "Sandefjord",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Eliteserien",
  "league_api_id": 103,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.3599,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-103-v3)",
  "odds_taken": "2.60",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.3841,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (+2.4%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

#818 #820

Latest entries

1416 in total