Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #740: pick published

Hash verified

Osasuna v Racing Santander: Home win 49% @ 1.97 (Avoid)

Written: 2026-10-18T01:02:57.519776+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash: f7adbd7588f0eecac06a3cdf0b451e3b7963ca5c284728a677f4f3048f55ed8b
Stored hash: 9a1205c212e9336ff63495bec7b38e06c1b9e85227193217548fca105a7f5ffc
Recomputed: 9a1205c212e9336ff63495bec7b38e06c1b9e85227193217548fca105a7f5ffc

Content, exactly as hashed

{
  "away": "Racing Santander",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0043,
  "explanation": "Home win: 49% against a market price of 49% (-0.4%).\nExpected goals Osasuna 1.74 – 1.40 Racing Santander.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 46% (uncertainty ±9.7%), so it carries 15% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+35% goals at home) adds 1.7 pts to home win.\nRacing Santander's defence (1.17× the league rate against) adds 1.0 pts to home win.\nRacing Santander's attack (1.12× the league rate) takes 0.6 pts from home win.\nOsasuna's attack (0.93× the league rate) takes 0.4 pts from home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-0.4%).",
  "fixture": 1570419,
  "home": "Osasuna",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "La Liga",
  "league_api_id": 140,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4894,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-140-v4)",
  "odds_taken": "1.97",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.4851,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-0.4%)",
  "trigger": "event: referee",
  "type": "pick"
}

#739 #741

Latest entries

1315 in total