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{
  "away": "Al-Hilal Saudi FC",
  "bookmakers": 8,
  "edge": -0.0059,
  "explanation": "Away win: 85% against a market price of 85% (-0.6%).\nExpected goals Al Riyadh 1.19 – 3.12 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 71% (uncertainty ±12.8%), so it carries 6% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nAl-Hilal Saudi FC's attack (2.12× the league rate) adds 1.9 pts to away win.\nTagged Banker: 85% likely, uncertainty only ±0.7%, market agrees.",
  "fixture": 1603051,
  "home": "Al Riyadh",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-16T15:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "Pro League",
  "league_api_id": 307,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.854,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-307-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "1.12",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.8481,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "banker",
  "tag_reason": "85% likely, uncertainty only ±0.7%, market agrees",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}