Skip to content
Trosbet
Feed live Sign in Join free

Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #737: pick published

Hash verified

Uta Arad v CFR 1907 Cluj: Home win 43% @ 2.12 (Avoid)

Written
2026-10-18T01:02:51.454280+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash
95de10510b0996250ed94537e79fe3e7f777568d2973a0a4c4ff25a9dad528ba
Stored hash
a7361468a8317cab6ac0afb2aee4e84c864b07dba01589b368dfbf96fca64366
Recomputed
a7361468a8317cab6ac0afb2aee4e84c864b07dba01589b368dfbf96fca64366
Content, exactly as hashed
{
  "away": "CFR 1907 Cluj",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0068,
  "explanation": "Home win: 43% against a market price of 44% (-0.7%).\nExpected goals Uta Arad 1.48 – 1.28 CFR 1907 Cluj.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 41% (uncertainty ±7.1%), so it carries 28% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nHome advantage in this league (+41% goals at home) adds 3.2 pts to home win.\nCFR 1907 Cluj's attack (1.18× the league rate) takes 1.3 pts from home win.\nCFR 1907 Cluj's defence (0.95× the league rate against) takes 0.5 pts from home win.\nRest days (Uta Arad 8, CFR 1907 Cluj 6) adds 0.5 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-0.7%).",
  "fixture": 1565278,
  "home": "Uta Arad",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-18T15:15:00+00:00",
  "league": "Liga I",
  "league_api_id": 283,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4401,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-283-v4)",
  "odds_taken": "2.12",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.4333,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-0.7%)",
  "trigger": "event: referee",
  "type": "pick"
}

Latest entries

1343 in total
#1343 Pick published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
9ca928160bff…
#1342 Pick published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
5ac703c115b3…
#1341 Slip published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
03fb78a548a9…
#1340 Pick published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
e3fc96d1e75c…
#1339 Pick published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
cd7392517bb0…
#1338 Pick published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
fbde87208647…
#1337 Slip published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
f037825e1753…
#1336 Slip published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
957785676692…
#1335 Pick published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
a9a7f780b2ae…
#1334 Pick published
FC Cajamarca v UCV Moquegua: Home win 55% @ 1.68 (Avoid)
79d55063e0a8…
#1333 Pick published
Baltika v FC Rostov: Home win 44% @ 2.17 (Avoid)
fec2c8fe2e09…
#1332 Pick published
Universitatea Craiova v Farul Constanta: Home win 65% @ 1.37 (Avoid)
b1127994245e…
#1331 Slip published
Sealed until kickoff: the content is published the moment the match starts.
cdd0d06816a8…
#1330 Pick published
SV Meppen v Havelse: Home win 57% @ 1.63 (Avoid)
275d8b2e179c…
#1329 Pick published
Racing Club v Independiente: Home win 42% @ 2.24 (Avoid)
a6a09c95e2dc…
#1328 Pick published
Tromso v KFUM Oslo: Home win 64% @ 1.42 (Avoid)
31a673a886b9…
#1327 Pick published
Delfin SC v Manta FC: Home win 43% @ 2.14 (Avoid)
a00c246bbd0e…
#1326 Pick published
Valladolid v Eldense: Home win 49% @ 1.92 (Avoid)
acd02b878dad…
#1325 Pick published
Girona v FC Andorra: Home win 54% @ 1.76 (Avoid)
9a1cd16c136d…
#1324 Pick published
Železničar Pančevo v FK Partizan: Home win 39% @ 2.23 (Avoid)
40a5c4b14177…