Skip to content
Trosbet
Feed live Sign in Join free

Check any pick we ever made

Every pick and slip is written into a hash chain the moment it is published. Change one old entry and every hash after it breaks, so nobody, including us, can quietly edit history.

Entry #262: pick published

Hash verified

Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale: Away win 38% @ 2.35 (Avoid)

Written
2026-10-17T00:00:29.379404+00:00 (UTC, exactly as hashed)
Previous hash
9053f5fecb5b54ff50d17fb68b49ade6a4a74c9042a9ddfe42d00c2536ae3a1b
Stored hash
3dd7cf8086bd46e1964006ebaf8c00e4d9e625d91716b0ba3fb3787ce1fa250d
Recomputed
3dd7cf8086bd46e1964006ebaf8c00e4d9e625d91716b0ba3fb3787ce1fa250d
Content, exactly as hashed
{
  "away": "Kawasaki Frontale",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0258,
  "explanation": "Away win: 38% against a market price of 40% (-2.6%).\nExpected goals Cerezo Osaka 1.35 – 1.18 Kawasaki Frontale.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 33% (uncertainty ±5.9%), so it carries 34% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nKawasaki Frontale's attack (1.13× the league rate) adds 1.3 pts to away win.\nHome advantage in this league (+16% goals at home) takes 1.3 pts from away win.\nKawasaki Frontale's defence (1.08× the league rate against) takes 0.7 pts from away win.\nCerezo Osaka's attack (1.06× the league rate) takes 0.6 pts from away win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-2.6%).",
  "fixture": 1556091,
  "home": "Cerezo Osaka",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T06:00:00+00:00",
  "league": "J1 League",
  "league_api_id": 98,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.4032,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-98-v1)",
  "odds_taken": "2.35",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.3775,
  "season": 2027,
  "selection": "away",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-2.6%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}

Latest entries

714 in total
#714 Pick published
Washington Spirit W v NJ/NY Gotham FC W: Home win 37% @ 2.62 (Upset Watch)
f1c0b96f85f6…
#713 Pick published
Real Betis v Barcelona: Away win 66% @ 1.41 (Avoid)
fc6f23c67dec…
#712 Pick published
Sporting Gijon v Albacete: Home win 49% @ 1.93 (Avoid)
4f69382f802f…
#711 Pick published
NK Osijek v HNK Gorica: Home win 55% @ 1.65 (Avoid)
cd8e1b41272d…
#710 Pick published
NEOM v Al-Ettifaq: Home win 51% @ 1.79 (Avoid)
b14b79e2a922…
#709 Pick published
GKS Katowice v Pogon Szczecin: Home win 46% @ 1.96 (Avoid)
cd0ab4cf0d61…
#708 Pick published
Austria Lustenau v Lask Linz: Home win 17% @ 7.40 (Upset Watch)
c19d178b77f3…
#707 Pick published
Paks v Gyori ETO FC: Home win 46% @ 1.93 (Avoid)
569a9ce087c9…
#706 Pick published
Villarreal v Elche: Away win 17% @ 6.56 (Upset Watch)
66f80b89a2bb…
#705 Pick published
Eibar v Mallorca: Home win 40% @ 2.56 (Avoid)
6cb2c85adf35…
#704 Pick published
Dinamo Brest v FC Gomel: Home win 45% @ 2.12 (Avoid)
b538cfce60c3…
#703 Pick published
Newport County v York: Away win 47% @ 1.91 (Avoid)
472220b721de…
#702 Pick published
Crewe v Rochdale: Home win 50% @ 1.84 (Avoid)
4c0eec7e6e3d…
#701 Pick published
Southampton v Bolton: Home win 65% @ 1.45 (Avoid)
d89792f53127…
#700 Pick published
Eskilstuna United W v Norrköping W: Home win 38% @ 2.41 (Avoid)
9a0c5edd4cc5…
#699 Pick published
Floridsdorfer AC v Admira Wacker: Home win 43% @ 2.29 (Avoid)
7280b5d5bc53…
#698 Pick published
Dinamo Makhachkala v Akron: Home win 43% @ 2.12 (Avoid)
95c6426b2f7b…
#697 Pick published
Progreso v Juventud: Home win 33% @ 3.15 (Upset Watch)
30b3f41e7ced…
#696 Pick published
HJK Helsinki v Gnistan: Home win 62% @ 1.44 (Avoid)
b7967b3cc27e…
#695 Pick published
Sivasspor v Sarıyer: Home win 40% @ 2.31 (Avoid)
f3d69dd148fb…