Check any pick we ever made

{
  "away": "Elche",
  "bookmakers": 6,
  "edge": -0.0202,
  "explanation": "Home win: 64% against a market price of 66% (-2.0%).\nExpected goals Villarreal 2.12 – 1.12 Elche.\nSimulated 10,000 times, the model alone says 60% (uncertainty ±7.2%), so it carries 32% of the weight and the de-vigged market price carries the rest.\nVillarreal's attack (1.35× the league rate) adds 4.1 pts to home win.\nHome advantage in this league (+35% goals at home) adds 4.0 pts to home win.\nElche's defence (1.07× the league rate against) adds 1.1 pts to home win.\nTagged Avoid: no edge over the market price (-2.0%).",
  "fixture": 1570422,
  "home": "Villarreal",
  "kickoff": "2026-10-17T14:15:00+00:00",
  "league": "La Liga",
  "league_api_id": 140,
  "market": "1X2",
  "market_probability": 0.6649,
  "model": "unified-sim v1 (sim-140-v2)",
  "odds_taken": "1.46",
  "prediction_version": 1,
  "probability": 0.6447,
  "season": 2026,
  "selection": "home",
  "tag": "avoid",
  "tag_reason": "no edge over the market price (-2.0%)",
  "trigger": "scheduled",
  "type": "pick"
}